By Sunidhi - Jun 13, 2025
Global oil prices surged on Friday, reaching nearly $75 a barrel for Brent crude and close to $73 for U.S. West Texas Intermediate, following Israel's strikes on Iranian sites and subsequent Iranian drone attacks. The risk of disruptions in the global oil supply, particularly through the crucial Strait of Hormuz, due to the conflict between Israel and Iran has caused alarm and market anxiety. The escalating prices could spell economic challenges for oil-importing countries and consumers worldwide, with analysts warning of potential further increases above $100 per barrel if the conflict persists.
Extraction of oil via Pexels
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On Friday, global oil prices took a sharp turn upward, with Brent crude nearing $75 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbing close to $73. This sudden jump of over 7% for both benchmarks was sparked by Israel's military strikes on Iranian nuclear and military sites, quickly followed by Iran launching retaliatory drone attacks. The direct clash between these two major Middle Eastern powers has raised significant alarm, embedding a hefty risk premium into crude oil prices and sending shockwaves through international financial markets.
The main worry fueling this price surge is the increased risk of disruptions to global oil supply, especially through the strategically crucial Strait of Hormuz. This narrow passage, which borders Iran, is responsible for about 20% of the world’s daily oil consumption. Any prolonged escalation that affects shipping or energy infrastructure in this vital route could severely limit crude flow, creating a major imbalance in global supply and demand. While there haven’t been any confirmed physical disruptions yet, just the thought of such an event has been enough to stir up intense market anxiety worldwide.
For oil-importing countries across Europe, Asia, and beyond, this price spike poses a serious economic challenge. Higher crude prices mean bigger import bills, which could worsen trade deficits, weaken national currencies, and drive inflation higher. Consumers around the globe might see rising costs at the gas pump, affecting transportation and the overall economy. The International Energy Agency (IEA) has mentioned that it’s keeping a close eye on the situation and has emergency oil stocks ready, but the market remains highly sensitive to any further escalation that could put global reserves under strain.
Analysts are keeping a close eye on the situation, with many warning that if the conflict continues, we could see oil prices soar well above $100 a barrel, especially if Iranian production is targeted or if there's a long-term disruption in the Strait of Hormuz. This current volatility highlights just how crucial stability in the Middle East is for global energy security and how interconnected geopolitical events are with the overall health of the world economy.