UFC 319 presents an electrifying lineup headlined by the middleweight championship bout between Dricus du Plessis and unbeaten challenger Khamzat Chimaev. Chimaev enters as the betting favorite due to his dominant grappling and relentless forward pressure, but Du Plessis has defied expectations at every turn, dispatching former champions and twice defending his belt. Expert picks remain divided, with some analysts backing Chimaev’s ability to dictate the pace, while others highlight Du Plessis’ fight IQ and game-changing power. The best bet for value hunters might be Du Plessis by decision or late stoppage, given his proven resilience and strategic adaptability against top opposition

Throughout the main card, additional standout matchups offer prime betting opportunities. Lerone Murphy is seen as a live underdog in his featherweight contest against Aaron Pico, who debuts with considerable hype but faces a skilled and composed foe in Murphy. Geoff Neal versus Carlos Prates is another bout drawing attention from experts, with Prates favored for his superior striking angles and athleticism. Meanwhile, Jared Cannonier and Michael Page square off in a stylistically fascinating middleweight clash, with Page’s unconventional movement prompting some handicappers to pick him as a points winner, though Cannonier’s one-shot knockout power makes a finish a tempting prop bet on the DraftKings sportsbook.

Looking at the flyweight division, Tim Elliott is matched against the explosive Kai Asakura, whose finishing ability is the focus of several expert predictions. While Asakura is favored to win via TKO or points due to his striking accuracy and speed, Elliott’s unpredictable style and experience in deep waters make him a value play for those seeking a potential upset. Parlay options across the UFC 319 card are abundant, particularly involving Chimaev’s odds combined with favorites like Prates and Asakura, but experts caution to avoid heavy chalk moneylines and instead explore more nuanced props and method-of-victory bets for greater profitability.

Shifting to the 2025 PFL Championships, the welterweight final between undefeated Thad Jean and battle-tested Logan Storley yields a notable best bet opportunity. Jean is installed as the favorite, but analysts cite Storley’s wrestling pedigree and big-fight experience as crucial intangibles. With Jean’s early KO threat versus Storley’s late-round grind, prices on Storley to win offer solid value at plus money. The featherweight final features Jesus Pinedo, favored for his dynamic striking, over Movlid Khaybulaev, while Jordan Newman’s astronomical odds to win mean bettors are best served targeting underdog props or round bets in less predictable PFL matchups. Upsets have shaped this tourney, amplifying the importance of methodical and risk-managed betting strategies for championship night.